The Gujarat weather forecast for October 1, 2026 shows the state entering the final phase of the Southwest Monsoon withdrawal. Weather conditions are gradually shifting toward warmer and clearer days, although some districts may still receive isolated light to moderate rain or thundershowers. The monsoon is expected to completely withdraw from Gujarat over the next two to three days. There are currently no severe weather warnings for Gujarat, but isolated rainfall remains possible in parts of North Gujarat, South Gujarat and Saurashtra Kutch. This transition period is a regular feature of the seasonal cycle, where the monsoon retreats gradually rather than stopping all at once.
Southwest Monsoon Nears Complete Withdrawal
The Southwest Monsoon is now in its withdrawal phase across Gujarat. The transition is gradually bringing a warmer and clearer weather pattern to the state. Rainfall activity is becoming more localized, while daytime temperatures are expected to rise as the monsoon moves away. The next two to three days are expected to be important for the completion of the monsoon withdrawal from Gujarat. However, the end of the monsoon does not mean that every part of the state will immediately become completely dry. Localized showers and thunderstorms can still occur during this transition period. This is why residents should continue to check local forecasts even as the overall weather becomes drier and warmer.
Temperature in Gujarat on October 1
Daytime temperatures across major parts of Gujarat are expected to remain around 33°C to 34°C. Overnight minimum temperatures are expected to remain between 25°C and 27°C. Although these temperatures may appear moderate, humidity can make the afternoon conditions feel considerably warmer. The Real Feel temperature is expected to reach around 37°C to 39°C during peak daytime hours. This means that even though the monsoon is withdrawing, the combination of heat and moisture will continue to make outdoor conditions uncomfortable during the afternoon. Residents are advised to stay hydrated and avoid prolonged exposure to direct sunlight.
Humidity and Real Feel Temperature
Humidity is expected to remain around 44 percent to 57 percent during the peak daytime period. Because of this humidity, the actual temperature may feel higher than the recorded air temperature. People spending extended periods outdoors during the afternoon may therefore experience noticeable heat even as the monsoon begins to withdraw. The Real Feel temperature is a useful indicator because it reflects how the weather actually feels to the human body, taking into account both temperature and humidity. When humidity is high, the body ability to cool itself through sweating is reduced, making the air feel warmer than it actually is.
Sky and Wind Conditions
The sky is expected to remain mostly sunny to partly cloudy across Gujarat. Gentle winds from the northerly to north westerly direction are expected, with speeds of around 3 to 6 mph. The combination of clearer skies, weaker rainfall activity and gradually increasing temperatures is a sign of the state transition toward post monsoon weather. These conditions are typical of the period when the monsoon is withdrawing and the weather is shifting toward the drier patterns of October and November.
Very High UV Index
The UV index is expected to remain around 7 to 8, which is considered very high. People planning outdoor activities during the middle of the day should take appropriate sun protection measures, particularly during periods of strong sunshine. This includes wearing sunscreen, using sunglasses, and covering exposed skin where possible. Even though the monsoon is ending, the sun can still be strong during the day, especially when the sky is clear and there is no cloud cover to reduce the intensity of the sunlight.
Gujarat District Wise Rain Forecast
Even though the monsoon is withdrawing, some districts may still receive isolated rainfall. The rainfall forecast is mainly divided into North Gujarat, South Gujarat and Saurashtra Kutch.
North Gujarat
The districts of Banaskantha, Patan and Vav Tharad may receive isolated light showers or thundershowers. Rainfall in these areas is expected to remain localized rather than developing into a widespread spell across North Gujarat. This means that some locations may see a brief shower while nearby areas remain dry. Residents in these districts should keep an eye on local weather updates in case a shower develops during the day.
South Gujarat
South Gujarat continues to have some potential for scattered rainfall. The districts and areas mentioned in the forecast include:
- Surat
- Tapi
- Dang
- Navsari
- Valsad
- Daman
- Dadra and Nagar Haveli
These areas may experience scattered light to moderate rainfall. For Surat and other South Gujarat districts, the weather can therefore remain changeable even as the broader state moves toward drier conditions. People in these areas should carry rain protection if they are planning to be outdoors for extended periods.
Saurashtra and Kutch
Parts of Saurashtra and Kutch may also experience brief weather activity. The districts mentioned include:
- Rajkot
- Porbandar
- Junagadh
- Amreli
- Bhavnagar
- Gir Somnath
- Kutch
The possibility includes passing light showers or lightning activity at isolated locations. These showers are expected to be short lived and localized, so not every part of these districts will experience rain on the same day.
Gujarat Weather From October 2 to October 7
The weather outlook for October 2 to October 7, 2026 indicates a much drier pattern across Gujarat. The main Gujarat region as well as Saurashtra and Kutch are expected to experience predominantly dry conditions. As the monsoon withdrawal progresses, daytime temperatures are expected to rise gradually. By the end of the week, temperatures could reach around 36°C to 37°C in several areas, accompanied by clearer and sunnier skies. This shift toward drier and warmer weather is a clear sign that the monsoon season is coming to an end for the year.
Surat Weather During the Transition
Surat and other parts of South Gujarat may continue to experience some cloud cover and isolated rainfall during the early part of October. The transition is expected to be gradual rather than an immediate change from rainy weather to completely dry conditions. As the monsoon withdraws, temperatures are expected to increase and the number of rainy periods should decrease. Residents in Surat should expect a mix of cloudy and sunny days during this transition period, with occasional showers possible until the monsoon fully withdraws.
Weather Conditions Across Saurashtra and Kutch
Saurashtra and Kutch are also moving toward a drier weather pattern. On October 1, isolated passing showers or lightning activity may still occur in some districts. However, the broader outlook from October 2 onward points toward predominantly dry weather. Daytime temperatures are expected to gradually increase as clearer skies become more common. The transition period is expected to be shorter in Saurashtra and Kutch compared to South Gujarat, as these regions are typically drier during the post monsoon period.
What to Expect After Monsoon Withdrawal
The withdrawal of the Southwest Monsoon generally marks a major seasonal transition for Gujarat. During this period, residents can expect:
- Fewer widespread rainy days
- More sunshine during the daytime
- Gradually increasing afternoon temperatures
- Warmer daytime conditions
- Relatively cooler nights compared with afternoons
- Occasional localized weather changes during the transition
The first week of October is therefore expected to show a clear shift toward warmer and drier conditions. For people in Gujarat, this means that the rainy season is ending and the weather will gradually become more stable and predictable over the coming weeks.
Weather Outlook for Outdoor Activities
October 1 may still bring localized showers in some districts, particularly parts of South Gujarat and other areas listed in the district forecast. From October 2 onward, the broader forecast indicates increasingly dry conditions. People planning outdoor activities should therefore consider the local district forecast rather than assuming that the entire state will experience identical weather. If you are planning an event or a trip, checking the local forecast for your specific district can help you prepare for any isolated showers that may still occur.
Key Points of Gujarat Weather October 1, 2026
- The Southwest Monsoon is in its withdrawal phase across Gujarat
- Complete withdrawal from the state is expected within two to three days
- Daytime temperatures are around 33°C to 34°C
- Night temperatures are around 25°C to 27°C
- Humidity may make temperatures feel closer to 37°C to 39°C
- The sky is expected to remain mostly sunny to partly cloudy
- The UV index is expected to remain around 7 to 8
- Banaskantha, Patan and Vav Tharad may see isolated showers or thundershowers
- Surat, Tapi, Dang, Navsari and Valsad may receive scattered light to moderate rain
- Parts of Saurashtra and Kutch may experience passing showers or lightning activity
- No severe weather warning is indicated for the state
- From October 2 to October 7, Gujarat is expected to become predominantly dry
- Temperatures could rise to around 36°C to 37°C toward the end of the week
Conclusion
The Gujarat Weather October 1, 2026 forecast shows the state moving through the final stage of the Southwest Monsoon withdrawal. While most areas are beginning to experience a transition toward clearer and warmer weather, isolated rainfall remains possible in parts of North Gujarat, South Gujarat and Saurashtra Kutch. The weather pattern is expected to become significantly drier from October 2 onward, with daytime temperatures gradually increasing and potentially reaching 36°C to 37°C by the end of the week. For October 1, the main feature is the transition itself. Gujarat is moving away from widespread monsoon conditions, but localized showers and thunderstorms can still occur before the season fully withdraws. Residents should continue to check local forecasts and take appropriate precautions for both heat and occasional rain.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1. When will the monsoon completely withdraw from Gujarat?
A1. The Southwest Monsoon is expected to completely withdraw from Gujarat within the next two to three days from October 1, 2026.
Q2. Will it rain in Gujarat on October 1, 2026?
A2. Isolated light to moderate rain or thundershowers are possible in parts of North Gujarat, South Gujarat and Saurashtra Kutch. However, no severe weather warning has been issued.
Q3. What is the temperature in Gujarat on October 1, 2026?
A3. Daytime temperatures are expected to remain around 33°C to 34°C, with night temperatures between 25°C and 27°C. The real feel temperature may reach 37°C to 39°C due to humidity.
Q4. Which districts in Gujarat may receive rain on October 1?
A4. Banaskantha, Patan and Vav Tharad in North Gujarat, Surat, Tapi, Dang, Navsari and Valsad in South Gujarat, and parts of Rajkot, Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Gir Somnath and Kutch may see isolated showers.
Q5. What will the weather be like in Gujarat after October 2, 2026?
A5. From October 2 to October 7, Gujarat is expected to experience predominantly dry conditions with rising daytime temperatures that could reach 36°C to 37°C by the end of the week.